What is numbertwenty?
Football is chaotic, and scores don't always tell the whole story. numbertwenty goes beyond xG by using statistical neighbors: we compare every game to thousands of past matches with similar profiles to determine its fair probabilities.
Probabilities are recalibrated based on actual league distributions. By weighting similar historical matches, the model accurately reflects real-world frequencies—including draws—which traditional xG models fail to capture.
This is a purely analytical project. While we provide data-driven insights, numbertwenty is not a prediction engine for gambling. We do not encourage sports betting; our goal is to bring transparency and objectivity to football analysis.
Statistics are just whispers; the game is where the truth speaks. Because football is meant to be watched, felt, and lived—never just calculated. In cherished memory of Diogo Jota, the one and only number twenty.